New Hampshire House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lily Tang Williams a 17% chance of winning the New Hampshire House 2022 primary. Robert Burns won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Lily Tang Williams — 17% model odds
- George Hansel — 14% model odds
- Ann Mclane Kuster — 13% model odds
- Robert Burns — 11% model odds (won)
- Scott Black — 9% model odds
- Jay Mercer — 9% model odds
- Dean A. Poirer — 9% model odds
- Michael Callis — 9% model odds