New Hampshire House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lily Tang Williams a 15% chance of winning the New Hampshire House 2022 primary. Ann Mclane Kuster won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Lily Tang Williams — 15% model odds
- George Hansel — 14% model odds
- Ann Mclane Kuster — 12% model odds (won)
- Robert Burns — 11% model odds
- Scattered — 10% model odds
- Scott Black — 10% model odds
- Dean A. Poirer — 10% model odds
- Jay Mercer — 10% model odds