New Hampshire House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chris Pappas a 30% chance of winning the New Hampshire House 2022 primary. Karoline Leavitt won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Chris Pappas — 30% model odds
- Tim Baxter — 26% model odds
- Karoline Leavitt — 21% model odds (won)
- Gail Huff Brown — 7% model odds
- Matt Mowers — 5% model odds
- Russell Prescott — 2% model odds
- Mary Maxwell — 2% model odds
- Kevin R. Rondeau — 2% model odds