New Hampshire House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chris Pappas a 34% chance of winning the New Hampshire House 2022 primary. Chris Pappas won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Chris Pappas — 34% model odds (won)
  2. Tim Baxter — 23% model odds
  3. Karoline Leavitt — 18% model odds
  4. Gail Huff Brown — 7% model odds
  5. Matt Mowers — 5% model odds
  6. Scattered — 2% model odds
  7. Russell Prescott — 2% model odds
  8. Mary Maxwell — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts