North Dakota Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Hoeven a 78% chance of winning the North Dakota Senate 2022 primary. John Hoeven won, matching the model's top pick.

1. John Hoeven — 78% model odds (won)
2. Riley Kuntz — 11% model odds
3. Scattered — 11% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts