North Dakota Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Katrina Christiansen an 85% chance of winning the North Dakota Senate 2022 primary. Katrina Christiansen won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Katrina Christiansen — 85% model odds (won)
  2. Scattered — 12% model odds
  3. Michael J. Steele — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts