North Dakota House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mark # Haugen an 80% chance of winning the North Dakota House 2022 primary. Mark # Haugen won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mark # Haugen — 80% model odds (won)
  2. Scattered — 20% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts