North Carolina Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ted Budd a 53% chance of winning the North Carolina Senate 2022 primary. Ted Budd won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Ted Budd — 53% model odds (won)
  2. Kenneth, Jr. Harper — 7% model odds
  3. Pat Mccrory — 3% model odds
  4. Mark Walker — 3% model odds
  5. Marjorie K. Eastman — 3% model odds
  6. David Flaherty — 3% model odds
  7. Jen Banwart — 3% model odds
  8. Charles Kenneth Moss — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts