North Carolina Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Cheri Beasley a 56% chance of winning the North Carolina Senate 2022 primary. Cheri Beasley won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Cheri Beasley — 56% model odds (won)
  2. Robert Colon — 16% model odds
  3. James L., Jr. Carr — 3% model odds
  4. Alyssia Rose-Katherine Hammond — 3% model odds
  5. Marcus W. Williams — 3% model odds
  6. Constance Johnson — 3% model odds
  7. Rett Newton — 3% model odds
  8. Chrelle Booker — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts