North Carolina House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bo Hines a 13% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2022 primary. Bo Hines won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Bo Hines — 13% model odds (won)
  2. Devan Barbour — 13% model odds
  3. Kelly Kathleen Daughtry — 13% model odds
  4. Kent Keirsey — 13% model odds
  5. Renee Ellmers — 13% model odds
  6. Chad Slotta — 13% model odds
  7. Jessica Morel — 13% model odds
  8. Kevin Alan Wolff — 13% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts