North Carolina House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Wiley Nickel a 20% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2022 primary. Wiley Nickel won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Wiley Nickel — 20% model odds (won)
2. Sam Searcy — 20% model odds
3. Ms. Jamie Campbell Bowles — 20% model odds
4. Nathan Click — 20% model odds
5. Denton Lee — 20% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts