North Carolina House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tyler Lee a 33% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2022 primary. Tyler Lee won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Tyler Lee — 33% model odds (won)
  2. Andrew Huffman — 33% model odds
  3. Nalini Joseph — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts