North Carolina House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Alma S. Adams an 81% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2022 primary. Alma S. Adams won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Alma S. Adams — 81% model odds (won)
  2. John Sharkey — 19% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts