North Carolina House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Madison Cawthorn a 65% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2022 primary. Chuck Edwards won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Madison Cawthorn — 65% model odds
- Chuck Edwards — 12% model odds (won)
- Matthew Burril — 4% model odds
- Bruce O'Connell — 4% model odds
- Rod Honeycutt — 4% model odds
- Michele V. Woodhouse — 4% model odds
- Wendy Marie-Limbaugh Nevarez — 4% model odds
- Kristie Sluder — 4% model odds