North Carolina House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jasmine Beach-Ferrara a 61% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2022 primary. Jasmine Beach-Ferrara won, matching the model's top pick.
- Jasmine Beach-Ferrara — 61% model odds (won)
- Katie Dean — 8% model odds
- Jay Carey — 8% model odds
- Bo Hess — 8% model odds
- Marco Gutierrez — 8% model odds
- Bynum M. Lunsford — 8% model odds