North Carolina House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave David Rouzer a 77% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2022 primary. David Rouzer won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. David Rouzer — 77% model odds (won)
  2. Max Southworth-Beckwith — 23% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts