North Carolina House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lee Haywood an 18% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2022 primary. Christian Castelli won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Lee Haywood — 18% model odds
- Christian Castelli — 14% model odds (won)
- Mary Ann Contogiannis — 14% model odds
- Gerry Austin — 14% model odds
- Laura Pichardo — 14% model odds
- Marvin Boguslawski — 14% model odds
- William Schuch — 14% model odds