North Carolina House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Nida Allam a 46% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2022 primary. Valerie P. Foushee won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Nida Allam — 46% model odds
- Valerie P. Foushee — 39% model odds (won)
- Clay Aiken — 3% model odds
- Ashley Ward — 2% model odds
- Richard L. Watkins — 2% model odds
- Crystal Cavalier — 2% model odds
- Stephen J. Valentine — 2% model odds
- Matt Grooms — 2% model odds