North Carolina House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Barbara D. Gaskins a 71% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2022 primary. Barbara D. Gaskins won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Barbara D. Gaskins — 71% model odds (won)
  2. Joe Swartz — 29% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts