North Carolina House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Christine E. Villaverde a 33% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2022 primary. Christine E. Villaverde won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Christine E. Villaverde — 33% model odds (won)
  2. Mahesh Ganorkar — 33% model odds
  3. Adina Safta — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts