North Carolina House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sandy Smith a 66% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2022 primary. Sandy Smith won, matching the model's top pick.
- Sandy Smith — 66% model odds (won)
- Sandy Roberson — 9% model odds
- Billy Strickland — 4% model odds
- Brent Roberson — 4% model odds
- Brad Murphy — 4% model odds
- Will Aiken — 4% model odds
- Ernest Reeves — 4% model odds
- Henry, Ii Williams — 4% model odds