Montana House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Matt Rosendale a 76% chance of winning the Montana House 2022 primary. Matt Rosendale won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Matt Rosendale — 76% model odds (won)
  2. Kyle Austin — 6% model odds
  3. Charles A. Walkingchild — 6% model odds
  4. James Boyette — 6% model odds
  5. Scattered — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts