Montana House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sam Rankin a 25% chance of winning the Montana House 2022 primary. Sam Rankin won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Sam Rankin — 25% model odds (won)
  2. Samuel Thomas — 25% model odds
  3. Roger Roots — 25% model odds
  4. Scattered — 25% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts