Montana House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Penny Ronning a 33% chance of winning the Montana House 2022 primary. Penny Ronning won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Penny Ronning — 33% model odds (won)
  2. Mark Sweeney — 22% model odds
  3. Skylar Williams — 22% model odds
  4. Scattered — 22% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts