Montana House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ryan K. Zinke a 79% chance of winning the Montana House 2022 primary. Ryan K. Zinke won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Ryan K. Zinke — 79% model odds (won)
  2. Al "Doc" Olszewski — 5% model odds
  3. Matt Jette — 5% model odds
  4. Scattered — 5% model odds
  5. Mary Todd — 3% model odds
  6. Mitch Heuer — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts