Montana House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Monica Tranel a 75% chance of winning the Montana House 2022 primary. Monica Tranel won, matching the model's top pick.
- Monica Tranel — 75% model odds (won)
- Cora Neumann — 14% model odds
- Scattered — 6% model odds
- Tom Winter — 4% model odds