Mississippi House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mike Ezell a 48% chance of winning the Mississippi House 2022 primary. Steven Palazzo won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Mike Ezell — 48% model odds
  2. Steven Palazzo — 39% model odds (won)
  3. Kidron Peterson — 3% model odds
  4. Carl Boyanton — 3% model odds
  5. Clay Wagner — 3% model odds
  6. Brice Wiggins — 2% model odds
  7. Raymond N. Brooks — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts