Mississippi House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brian Flowers a 58% chance of winning the Mississippi House 2022 primary. Brian Flowers won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Brian Flowers — 58% model odds (won)
  2. Ronald Eller — 21% model odds
  3. Michael Carson — 11% model odds
  4. Stanford Johnson — 11% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts