Missouri Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Eric Schmitt a 43% chance of winning the Missouri Senate 2022 primary. Eric Schmitt won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Eric Schmitt — 43% model odds (won)
  2. Robert Allen — 4% model odds
  3. Vicky Hartzler — 3% model odds
  4. Eric Greitens — 3% model odds
  5. Billy Long — 3% model odds
  6. Mark Mccloskey — 3% model odds
  7. Dave Schatz — 3% model odds
  8. Patrick A. Lewis — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts