Missouri Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Paul Venable a 23% chance of winning the Missouri Senate 2022 primary. Paul Venable won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Paul Venable — 23% model odds (won)
  2. Nathan Mooney — 13% model odds
  3. Steve Price — 13% model odds
  4. Rick Combs — 13% model odds
  5. Gina Bufe — 13% model odds
  6. Theo Brown — 13% model odds
  7. David Kirk — 13% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts