Missouri Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Trudy Busch Valentine a 69% chance of winning the Missouri Senate 2022 primary. Trudy Busch Valentine won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Trudy Busch Valentine — 69% model odds (won)
  2. Lucas Kunce — 3% model odds
  3. Spencer Toder — 3% model odds
  4. Carla Coffee Wright — 3% model odds
  5. Gena Ross — 3% model odds
  6. Jewel Kelly — 3% model odds
  7. Lewis Rolen — 3% model odds
  8. Pat Kelly — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts