Missouri House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Eric Burlison a 54% chance of winning the Missouri House 2022 primary. Eric Burlison won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Eric Burlison — 54% model odds (won)
  2. Jay Wasson — 31% model odds
  3. Audrey Richards — 4% model odds
  4. Camille Lombardi-Olive — 4% model odds
  5. Alex Bryant — 2% model odds
  6. Mike Moon — 2% model odds
  7. Sam Alexander — 2% model odds
  8. Paul Walker — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts