Missouri House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kristen Radaker-Sheafer an 85% chance of winning the Missouri House 2022 primary. Kristen Radaker-Sheafer won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kristen Radaker-Sheafer — 85% model odds (won)
  2. Bryce F. Lockwood — 12% model odds
  3. John M. Woodman — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts