Missouri House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jacob Turk a 33% chance of winning the Missouri House 2022 primary. Jacob Turk won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Jacob Turk — 33% model odds (won)
2. Jerry W Barham — 33% model odds
3. Herschel L. Young — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts