Missouri House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mark Alford a 52% chance of winning the Missouri House 2022 primary. Mark Alford won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mark Alford — 52% model odds (won)
  2. Rick Brattin — 26% model odds
  3. Taylor Burks — 8% model odds
  4. Kalena Bruce — 4% model odds
  5. William Irwin — 3% model odds
  6. Jim Campbell — 3% model odds
  7. Kyle Stonner Labrue — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts