Missouri House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Blaine Luetkemeyer a 74% chance of winning the Missouri House 2022 primary. Blaine Luetkemeyer won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Blaine Luetkemeyer — 74% model odds (won)
  2. Brandon Wilkinson — 9% model odds
  3. Dustin Hill — 9% model odds
  4. Richard, Jr. Skwira — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts