Missouri House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bethany Mann a 25% chance of winning the Missouri House 2022 primary. Bethany Mann won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Bethany Mann — 25% model odds (won)
  2. Jon Karlen — 25% model odds
  3. Andrew Daly — 25% model odds
  4. Dylan Durrwachter — 25% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts