Missouri House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Andrew Jones a 72% chance of winning the Missouri House 2022 primary. Andrew Jones won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Andrew Jones — 72% model odds (won)
  2. Steven Jordan — 14% model odds
  3. Laura Mitchell-Riley — 14% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts