Missouri House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Cori Bush an 86% chance of winning the Missouri House 2022 primary. Cori Bush won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Cori Bush — 86% model odds (won)
2. Ron Harshaw — 5% model odds
3. Steve Roberts — 3% model odds
4. Michael Daniels — 3% model odds
5. Earl Childress — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts