Minnesota House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jill Abahsain a 62% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2022 primary. Jill Abahsain won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jill Abahsain — 62% model odds (won)
  2. Alycia R. Gruenhagen — 38% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts