Minnesota House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Cicely Davis an 83% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2022 primary. Cicely Davis won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Cicely Davis — 83% model odds (won)
  2. Guy T. Gaskin — 13% model odds
  3. Royce White — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts