Minnesota House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ilhan Omar a 54% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2022 primary. Ilhan Omar won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Ilhan Omar — 54% model odds (won)
  2. Don Samuels — 35% model odds
  3. Nate Schluter — 3% model odds
  4. Aj Kern — 3% model odds
  5. Albert Ross — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts