Minnesota House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jeff Ettinger a 33% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2022 primary. Jeff Ettinger won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Jeff Ettinger — 33% model odds (won)
2. James Rainwater — 33% model odds
3. George H. Kalberer — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts