Michigan House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Portia Roberson a 26% chance of winning the Michigan House 2022 primary. Shri Thanedar won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Portia Roberson — 26% model odds
- Shri Thanedar — 20% model odds (won)
- Adam Hollier — 20% model odds
- John Conyers — 4% model odds
- Sherry Gay-Dagnogo — 4% model odds
- Sharon Mcphail — 4% model odds
- Michael Griffie — 4% model odds
- Sam Riddle — 4% model odds