Michigan House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Carl J. Marlinga a 75% chance of winning the Michigan House 2022 primary. Carl J. Marlinga won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Carl J. Marlinga — 75% model odds (won)
2. Huwaida Arraf — 8% model odds
3. Angela Rogensues — 7% model odds
4. Rhonda Powell — 5% model odds
5. Henry Yanez — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts