Michigan House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lisa Mcclain a 53% chance of winning the Michigan House 2022 primary. Lisa Mcclain won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Lisa Mcclain — 53% model odds (won)
  2. Michelle R.E. Donovan — 47% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts