Michigan House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Paul Junge a 70% chance of winning the Michigan House 2022 primary. Paul Junge won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Paul Junge — 70% model odds (won)
2. Matthew Seely — 15% model odds
3. Candice Miller — 15% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts