Michigan House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tim Walberg a 48% chance of winning the Michigan House 2022 primary. Tim Walberg won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Tim Walberg — 48% model odds (won)
  2. Sherry O'Donnell — 41% model odds
  3. Elizabeth A. Ferszt — 5% model odds
  4. Bryan J. Trouten — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts