Michigan House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Moolenaar an 84% chance of winning the Michigan House 2022 primary. John Moolenaar won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. John Moolenaar — 84% model odds (won)
  2. Jericho Joel Gonzales — 12% model odds
  3. Thomas J. Norton — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts