Maine House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bruce # Poliquin a 63% chance of winning the Maine House 2022 primary. Bruce # Poliquin won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Bruce # Poliquin — 63% model odds (won)
  2. Elizabeth M. Caruso — 37% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts